# Turn 004 Cross-Player Synthesis

**Status:** GM-only recommendation; all fictional outcomes remain provisional

## Intake boundary

All four expected packages are valid, locked, and analyzed against the same canonical start state at `Y01-M04`. No absence procedure applies. No player submission supplies knowledge of another submission or hidden state.

## Shared seasonal conditions

Early summer brings warm growth, more stable travel, and more workable river and ground intervals. It also begins stronger labor competition, insect pressure, and clean-water risk. The Whiteback run offers a diminishing or uneven tail after its late-spring strength. These are correlated environmental effects, not player interactions.

## Direct intersections

No player seeks another player community, player-controlled place, or shared player resource. Claybank explicitly declines a lakeward journey; Merehaven exchanges observations only with Rushhook; Hazelstead stays with Juniper Fold; Ridgeford stays with Northbarrow. No direct player-to-player contact, conflict, trade, espionage, or accidental cooperation is recommended.

## Indirect intersections and carriers

| Carrier/system | Player scope | Turn 4 action | Permitted propagation | Protected boundary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oren / Northbarrow | player1 | Performs named crossing labor and receives progress report | Ridgeford's public work, safety stops, credit, and unchanged certification conditions | Claybank remains only an unnamed rumor; no current downstream facts |
| Ava / Juniper Fold | player2 | Conducts a second narrow ridge-strip walk | Exact observed conduct and continued dispute | Ridgeford current state and wider Juniper route knowledge remain protected |
| Seln / Ferryend | player3 | Permits one ordinary crossing and shares firsthand local hazard information | Narrows conditions and arrival practice only | No current Merehaven condition, leader, council, or action |
| Tovan / Rushhook | player4 | Exchanges matched observation records | Direct outlet timing and observed comparison fields | No Claybank facts, full Whiteback cycle, alliance, or restriction |
| Greywater / Longmere | all indirectly | Stable travel and changing fish movement alter local opportunities | Only local observations or supported reports | No omniscient regional synthesis |

## Resource and timing collisions

- Ridgeford and Northbarrow use only the compact's named labor; no player-controlled labor is shared.
- Hazelstead's harvest, hearing, and Juniper walk do not enter Ridgeford territory or require Ridgeford action.
- Claybank's single Ferryend crossing does not continue toward Longmere and cannot intersect Merehaven's boats.
- Merehaven's Rushhook visit remains within the established outlet relationship.
- No cart, boat, fuel stock, field, ford, workforce, or named actor is double-booked across player submissions.

## Character-agency resolution order

1. Apply the early-summer envelope locally: Ridgeford river window, Hazelstead crop maturity, Claybank ground and field release, Merehaven tail-run and fuel.
2. Resolve essential safety and resource gates before optional work.
3. Resolve local authority reviews: Dorr/Evin/Sila, Beren/Ilya/Nessa, Rusk/Hobb/Daia/Alin, Toren/Varo/Luma/Eska.
4. Resolve institutional renewals or transitions: Ridgeford watch, Hazelstead field trial, Claybank shared-firing authority, Merehaven council sunset.
5. Resolve external AI-community actions only after local prerequisites.
6. Propagate only the exact information directly observed or causally reported.

## Recommended simultaneous outcomes

| Player | Local outcome | External outcome | Cross-player consequence |
|---|---|---|---|
| player1 | One bounded structural crossing phase succeeds; route and watch remain limited | Northbarrow labor is credited and expectations sharpen | No direct contact; downstream settlement remains unnamed |
| player2 | Early mature produce is secured; weak patch retired; bounded dry-site trial authorized | Juniper walk establishes interim conduct, not title | No direct contact; no current Ridgeford information |
| player3 | Second safe review firing restores ordinary craft authority under compact; dry terrace lightly prepared | One exact Ferryend crossing updates local hazard knowledge | Explicitly no lakeward journey or Merehaven contact |
| player4 | Tail-run catch remains bounded; council gets final sunset mandate; reserve boat advances but remains secured | Rushhook timing comparison deepens | No Claybank knowledge; full cycle remains hidden |

## Knowledge and privacy findings

- player1 learns only Ridgeford and Northbarrow-observable facts.
- player2 learns only Hazelstead and Juniper-observable facts; Ava conveys no current Ridgeford condition.
- player3 learns only Ferryend-local firsthand hazards and retains the already known general lakeward route.
- player4 gains a stronger but still tentative observed outlet-to-inlet sequence and no whole-lake model.
- Toren's winter-net order, Rusk's concealed primary-cause fact, AI leaders' hidden strategies, the full Whiteback cycle, and every other player's submission remain protected.

## Attractor and emergent-rule review

Turn 4 adds further evidence to witnessed bounded authority: Ridgeford renews a limited public routine; Hazelstead uses a costed household choice and interim bilateral conduct; Claybank turns a review sanction into durable shared safety governance; Merehaven gives its council a named sunset. AI communities continue to recognize these procedures.

This still lacks player-to-player comparison, shared dependency or conflict, and regional consequence. The scheduled next formal review is after Turn 5. Recommendation: record supporting evidence only after adjudication, keep `AT-GWR-WITNESSED-AUTHORITY` an uneffected `HYPOTHESIS`, and activate no rule, bonus, or victory condition.

## Elimination and serious-consequence review

- Four valid submissions reset or preserve all miss streaks at zero.
- No established condition supports death, deposition, captivity, exile, or loss of control.
- No elimination docket is required.

## Recommended docket

- T004-D01 — Ridgeford safe-water structural phase, route, and watch renewal.
- T004-D02 — Hazelstead early harvest, bounded field choice, and Juniper conduct.
- T004-D03 — Claybank second review firing, authority restoration, and dry-site preparation.
- T004-D04 — Merehaven tail-run capacity, council sunset, timing exchange, and reserve-boat work.