# Turn 006 — Player Analysis: player2 / Hazelstead

**Status:** GM-only recommendation; no fictional outcome approved

## Submission record

- **Intake:** T006-I02 — VALID
- **Archive:** `campaign/instances/greywater-reach-01/turns/turn-006/intake/player2/turn-006/submission.md`
- **Words / bytes / SHA-256:** 965 / 5,943 / `012f2ec7aedf28c80a99096dedf5c0f300bf54ef6b887b10b617208bf75914f7`
- **Miss / streak:** No / 0

## Neutral interpretation

The leader prioritizes the remaining harvest, honest reserve custody, and household health, then converts six months of evidence-led practice into a voluntarily limited succession arrangement. The woodland trial remains deferred, Juniper conduct remains bounded, and the leader explicitly relinquishes exclusive coordination without selecting a private successor.

## Intentions and intrinsic difficulty

| Intent | Method and dependencies | Difficulty and defensible range |
|---|---|---|
| Bring in the remaining harvest | Plot-by-plot readiness, source separation, storage inspection, health stops, sealed seed reserve | Most remaining grain can come in during late summer, but a storm-threatened low strip and some spoilage or lodging loss are unavoidable possibilities. |
| Establish successors and safeguards | Final assembly, plain-language evidence, named custodians, review dates, accepted refusal | Hazelstead has five turns of practice to draw on. Broad acceptance with amendments is plausible; unanimous adoption or permanent compliance is not. |
| Preserve woodland and neighbor restraint | No felling, joint report, courtesy delegation only if safe, exact nonpromises | Continued conduct is highly plausible. Boundary, title, access, or permanent settlement is not. |

## Evidence-based scoring

| Dimension | Score | Evidence |
|---|---:|---|
| Direction | 5 | The submission consistently defines success as capable self-government after an honest harvest. |
| Focus | 4 | Harvest, institutional succession, neighbor conduct, health, and Lio's recovery remain coherent but broad. |
| Orchestration | 5 | Plot inspection, storage, public custodians, review points, assembly roles, and delegation gates are explicit. |
| Grounding | 5 | Uses remaining standing grain, the sealed reserve, runoff evidence, interim conduct, and demonstrated local offices. |
| Mobilization | 5 | Households may amend or reject practices, rival leaders retain voice, and succession legitimacy is openly produced. |
| Adaptability | 5 | Early harvest, isolation, unsafe-water stops, rejected clauses, canceled visit, and later revision all preserve the purpose. |

- **Power:** 0.908 — Strong
- **Permitted channels:** harvest preservation, accounting trust, institutional adoption, legitimacy of handoff, and bilateral procedural clarity.
- **Prohibited inferences:** no perfect harvest, abundance, permanent clearing, settled boundary, Juniper consent by silence, or compulsory permanent constitution.

## Character-agency pass

- **Nessa** supports the custody rules and refuses to let lower-quality grain disguise the reserve account.
- **Tamm** accepts stop authority but insists the water watcher be answerable at the next assembly rather than immune from review.
- **Beren** contests wording that could turn evidence review into a permanent cutter veto; he accepts a separate hearing with an explicit decision date.
- **Ilya** presents the runoff cost and supports continued no-cut conduct rather than forcing a final allocation.
- **Ava** is willing to receive a courtesy record and reciprocate seasonal restraint, but not settle title or permanent access.
- **Corren and Lio** preserve route knowledge without treating Lio's former output as the recovery standard.

## Recommended outcome

Approve T006-D02:

1. Most remaining sound grain comes in by readiness. A late storm forces one lower strip to be taken early and leaves a smaller visibly lost or food-only share; the sealed seed reserve remains honest and plantable.
2. The assembly adopts the five practices with two amendments: every stop authority must report at the next gathering, and every backup must be willing rather than appointed as a burden. Records receive named custodians and an early-autumn review.
3. The village retires the Hearthspeaker as a sole standing coordinator after the leader's final account. It chooses two rotating hearth conveners for the next season—initially Nessa and Beren—who may call and record assemblies but do not own domain decisions. The player remains alive, respected, and free to advise, but holds no exclusive office. This is voluntary succession, not elimination.
4. A small courtesy delegation reaches Ava after the harvest emergency passes. Hazelstead and Juniper Fold exchange matching records of restraint through first frost while leaving the ridge strip, title, compensation, and permanent access unresolved.
5. The dry-site trial remains deferred after its runoff cost; no tree or future household claim is created.

## Opportunity costs and lasting consequences

Hazelstead gives up the speed and clarity of a single Hearthspeaker in exchange for rotation, public records, and harder-to-capture domain authority. The harvest is adequate but not cleanly abundant, and the woodland expansion question remains for people who can no longer defer to the player.

## Privacy envelope

May narrate Hazelstead's harvest, losses, reserve, assembly debate, voluntary handoff, Lio's functional role, and directly exchanged Juniper conduct. Protect Juniper hidden routes or motives and every other player's private material.

No elimination is proposed; the handoff must be recorded as a campaign-ending voluntary retirement from exclusive office.