Turn 004 GM Decision Docket

Decision summary

No direct player contact, player conflict, irreversible loss, elimination, active-rule change, or victory activation is proposed. T004-D03 leads because it ends Rusk's review restriction and changes the ordinary allocation of craft authority, though the shared safety compact remains binding.

T004-D03 — Claybank second review firing, authority restoration, and dry-site preparation

• Decision: Whether the second review trial succeeds sufficiently to end Rusk's restriction, and how far dry-terrace work advances.
• Affected: player3; Rusk, Hobb, Daia, Alin, Miri, Venn, Seln, kiln/digger/field/injury constituencies.
• Established facts: One compliant review trial is complete; the upstream clay is promising but imperfect; the compact requires a second review; the dry terrace is promising and the closer site carries drainage risk; the old quarter remains closed.
• Recommendation: Complete a second safe, majority-sound small batch with some cracks, warp, or seepage. End Rusk's two-trial restriction and restore ordinary preparation, teaching, and craft direction while preserving tender vent control and unconditional worker stops. Select and lightly prepare the dry terrace without construction or extraction, and produce a costed rebuild proposal. Permit one ordinary Ferryend crossing with no new bargain or lakeward journey.
• Reasoning: The submission creates a rigorous review path, protects competing authorities, and does not overclaim the material evidence. A second compliant trial satisfies the established end condition; extending the restriction without a new breach would undermine the compact's legitimacy.
• Alternative A: The batch performs less consistently; Rusk's behavioral restriction still ends, but the rebuild proposal returns to another clay investigation before site preparation.
• Alternative B: A minor attempted overreach by Rusk triggers a stop and a public extension of restricted authority. This is causally possible but less supported than compliance because his status path is clear and he complied previously.
• Downstream: Shared-firing governance becomes an ordinary institution rather than a temporary sanction; the rebuild decision moves to a later turn; Rusk–Hobb rivalry remains governed.
• Privacy: Protect Rusk's hidden primary-cause fact beyond established public evidence, Seln's hidden leverage concerns, Merehaven's current condition and action, and the full Whiteback cycle.
• Specific elimination confirmation: Not applicable.

T004-D01 — Ridgeford safe-water structural phase, route, and watch renewal

• Decision: Degree of structural progress in the early-summer water window and whether the watch becomes a repeatable limited routine.
• Affected: player1; Dorr, Evin, Sila, Mara, Pell, Orra, Oren and associated groups.
• Established facts: Material and labor are staged; Evin previously stopped unsafe work; the western core is cattle-closed; the alternate stock route is measured and seasonal; Northbarrow has performed labor under a witnessed compact; the watch completed one useful trial.
• Recommendation: Permit one bounded safe-water foundation phase that survives unladen and light-load checks but not yet cattle certification. Complete and separately credit Dorr's restitution; maintain the seasonal route with one warm-rain closure; renew the watch for one month as warning, message, assembly, and hosted-arrival practice only; maintain but do not expand the small equipment inventory.
• Reasoning: Early summer and prior staging supply the missing work interval, while settlement and repeated cattle-load evidence remain absent. The submission's authority boundaries make strong progress safe without converting it into completion by assertion.
• Alternative A: Water conditions permit only half the planned section, leaving more stone staged and sharpening Oren's frustration.
• Alternative B: The full bounded section settles quickly enough for an empty-cart test, but cattle certification still waits. This is within the ordinary window but gives less seasonal friction.
• Downstream: A later cattle-test decision becomes plausible; Northbarrow's earned request approaches maturity; Pell's role becomes repeatable but noncommanding.
• Privacy: Protect Ford Meadow, Northbarrow hidden options, Claybank identity behind rumor, and other submissions.
• Specific elimination confirmation: Not applicable.

T004-D04 — Merehaven tail-run capacity, council sunset, timing exchange, and reserve-boat work

• Decision: How the declining run, final council mandate, matched Rushhook evidence, inlet recovery, and first-class repairs resolve.
• Affected: player4; Toren, Varo, Luma, Eska, Cal, Neri, Tovan and associated work groups.
• Established facts: Three racks and two working boats support bounded catches; protected fuel remains limited; the council is expiring after a third cycle; Rushhook proposed another observation exchange; the damaged entry remains locally deficient; the reserve boat has a material-specific repair list.
• Recommendation: Provide one further strong catch interval followed by declining acceptance, with protected fuel intact. Renew the council for one final mandate through the run and give it an explicit sunset. Deepen the observed outlet-to-inlet timing sequence without alliance or fishing rule. Show slight local juvenile improvement without culprit proof. Complete minor first-class repair work but keep the reserve boat secured for lack of noncompeting critical material.
• Reasoning: The plan responds to changing conditions instead of preserving emergency power or catch entitlement. Existing material constraints still prevent a free complete repair.
• Alternative A: The run weakens earlier, yielding less reserve and a quicker council sunset.
• Alternative B: Local salvage supplies enough material to complete the reserve boat under Eska's inspection. This is plausible but would soften the established cordage and shelter tradeoff more than the current evidence warrants.
• Downstream: Merehaven approaches post-run ordinary governance with stronger daily capacity practice; Cal's maintenance role deepens; the fish cycle and Toren's authorship remain hidden.
• Privacy: Protect Toren's winter-net order, full Whiteback cycle, Tovan's hidden fears, Claybank, and other submissions.
• Specific elimination confirmation: Not applicable.

T004-D02 — Hazelstead early harvest, bounded field choice, and Juniper conduct

• Decision: Degree of early harvest, fate of the weak patch, household choice on the dry site, and whether the second Juniper walk yields an interim practice.
• Affected: player2; Nessa, Beren, Ilya, Tamm, Corren, Lio, Ava and relevant households.
• Established facts: Most sound planting holds; one low edge and the mixed patch are weak; reserve remains intact; one dry site is costly but plausible; one ridge strip is unresolved under mixed no-cut custody.
• Recommendation: Secure only actually mature early produce while later grain remains growing; preserve the reserve; retire most of the weak comparison patch. Have the household hearing authorize only a small removable coppice/access trial outside disputed and protected ground. Complete the narrow Juniper walk and agree on present no-cut/path conduct without permanent boundary or access terms. Continue local health, drainage, hunting, and recovery safeguards.
• Reasoning: Early summer supports growth and some mature garden/early crops, not an invented full harvest. The limited trial gives Beren a real path forward while Ilya and affected households retain protection. Ava has reason to agree to conduct but not title.
• Alternative A: Households defer all site preparation until the later harvest account. This is fully credible and increases Beren's frustration.
• Alternative B: Ava cannot attend; Hazelstead keeps the same unilateral no-cut restraint and gains no new bilateral practice.
• Downstream: Labor shifts away from the failed patch; the future-field dispute becomes a bounded experiment; Juniper cooperation deepens without enclosure.
• Privacy: Protect Ava's hidden wider route knowledge and fears beyond observed conduct, current Ridgeford facts, other submissions, and regional topology.
• Specific elimination confirmation: Not applicable.

Attractor note

If T004-D01 through T004-D04 are approved, Turn 4 supplies further supporting evidence for witnessed bounded authority. Keep the attractor an uneffected HYPOTHESIS pending the scheduled Turn 5 review; activate no rule, bonus, or victory condition.

Proposed approval language

Approve T004-D01 through T004-D04 as recommended.

This would approve adjudication and authorize result drafting only. It would not authorize delivery and would not itself apply proposed fictional state changes to canonical state.